Prime Rate Drop: What Homeowners and Buyers Need to Know
On Wednesday, Canada’s six major banks announced a quarter-percentage-point reduction in their prime rates, dropping from 5.45% to 5.2%. This follows the Bank of Canada’s decision to lower its key interest rate for the sixth time since June, bringing it down to 3%. The central bank stated that inflation is hovering near its 2% target as the economy gains momentum.
This change will likely result in lower variable mortgage rates across Canadian lenders. My calculations show that for a homebuyer who made a 10% down payment on an average Canadian home, priced at $700,0000 as of December 2024, the reduction would translate to roughly $83 less in monthly payments on a five-year variable mortgage.
While fixed mortgage rates are expected to decrease slightly, driven by bond yields dropping to around 2.8% following the central bank’s announcement, investors are concerned that inflation may limit any significant drops in fixed rates.
Homeowners with variable-rate mortgages are likely to feel the impact immediately. Those with adjustable-rate mortgages will see their monthly payments decrease, while those with a fixed payment schedule will have more of their payment applied to the principal rather than interest.
For example, I estimate that a homeowner with a variable mortgage rate of 4.45% over 25 years, currently paying $3,458 per month, would see their rate drop to 4.2%, lowering their payments to $3,371—a savings of $1,044 per year.
Homeowners with a variable-rate mortgage can expect to save around $16 per month for every $100,000 of mortgage debt with each quarter-percentage-point decrease. He also noted that this rate cut arrives at a time of economic uncertainty, though there’s potential for growth in home sales.
“These successive rate cuts are good news for homeowners and those renewing their mortgages,” Tran said. “While the housing market is showing signs of life, it’s not the frenzy some anticipated. Buyers are in a strong position to take their time finding the right property and making conditional offers on financing and inspections.”
Since the peak of borrowing costs in August 2023, homeowners who put a 10% down payment on an average-priced home with a five-year variable mortgage have seen their payments drop by $680, according to research. At the height of rates, a 5.95% variable mortgage on a $660,000 home would have resulted in monthly payments of $3,850. With current rates at 3.95%, that figure has dropped to $3,155.
Phil Soper, president and CEO of Royal LePage, said the Bank of Canada’s latest rate cut could boost borrowing power for homebuyers. “This decrease comes right before the spring housing market, a time when demand typically increases. We should expect an uptick in buying and selling activity in the coming weeks,” Soper noted.
However, be cautioned by the potential U.S. tariffs expected to transpire on February 1st, 2025. A remain concern for both the central bank and consumers, adding an element of uncertainty to the housing market.
In conclusion:
With the latest rate cuts from the Bank of Canada and the major banks following suit, homeowners and buyers are seeing tangible relief in their mortgage payments. While variable-rate mortgage holders stand to benefit the most, even fixed-rate borrowers could see slight reductions. As the spring housing market approaches, this rate drop may help boost real estate activity, giving buyers more flexibility and negotiating power. However, lingering economic uncertainties, such as potential U.S. tariffs, remain in the background, reminding consumers to stay cautious as they navigate the evolving market.
Whether you’re considering refinancing, renewing, or entering the housing market, connect with a Mortgage With Mike today to explore how these changes can benefit you.